The Luxury Correction. Market contracted 12% in 2024.
Ask Rwannie AI about this concept →Working thesis
The art market fell 18.3% in 2024. Long term "Passion Premium" remains, with 10-year returns of +54%.
Evidence ledger
Catalogue baseline
Original SimTicker catalogue (illustrative) · 26 Sep 2026
Issuer reference
Unspecified issuer · 26 Sep 2026
Macro context
FRED market benchmarks · 26 Sep 2026
Index = 100 today. Back-cast and 10-year paths from a -12.0% reference yield and 10% volatility guide.
downside · 10y
29.5
base · 10y
48.1
upside · 10y
60.8
Stated assumptions: yields fade toward a 5% long-run rate; North America bloc — US-led bloc; USD pricing and Fed policy drive co-movement. Longer horizons carry wider uncertainty. Projections are re-modelled as data and evidence update over time; last modelled 26 Sep 2026. Illustrative only — not a forecast, record of past returns, or investment advice. The back-cast is simulated.
These scores describe scenario completeness and resilience, not returns or approval.
Next step
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