Global Equities (Ex-US)
Valuation Catch-up. 7.1% forecasted return.
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What needs to be understood
Global equities (ex-US) are projected to return 7.1%, benefiting from more attractive starting valuations.
Evidence ledger
Facts, inputs, and outputs stay separate.
Catalogue baseline
Original SimTicker catalogue (illustrative) · 26 Sep 2026
Issuer reference
Unspecified issuer · 26 Sep 2026
Macro context
FRED market benchmarks · 26 Sep 2026
Projected performance
Index = 100 today. Back-cast and 10-year paths from a 2.8% reference yield and 15% volatility guide.
downside · 10y
72.4
base · 10y
140.3
upside · 10y
192.3
Stated assumptions: yields fade toward a 5% long-run rate; Global bloc — Diversified across regions; tracks global risk appetite. Longer horizons carry wider uncertainty. Projections are re-modelled as data and evidence update over time; last modelled 26 Sep 2026. Illustrative only — not a forecast, record of past returns, or investment advice. The back-cast is simulated.
Illustrative scenarios
These scores describe scenario completeness and resilience, not returns or approval.
Next step
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